Tuesday 11 March 2014

Climbing the Greasy Polls

Labour's year-long decline in polling ratings appears to have bottomed-out recently – at least for the time being.  The party's polling lead regarding general election voting intention seems, if anything, to have recovered a little, and now looks to be around five or six percent. It had dropped to around four-and-a-half percentage points when aggregated over the previous short time period.

So, what has changed? Has there been anything in the news that might have afforded Labour an opportunity to gain public/voter support? Not that I have noticed. Things have been happening, but not conducive to material changes in voting intention.

What remains, then? The only change I have been able to determine is an almost complete absence of the Labour leader from the public eyte in recent weeks. He still pops up occasionally, though usually only when he has no real choice, such as at Prime Minister's Questions and when a major international issue arises.

Apart from that, he has been absent from the public gaze, or at best unnoticed, and it has allowed his party's polling malaise to begin to hel. I can't help wondering whether this has been a deliberate exercise conducted precisely to discover whether this would indeed happen under such circumstances.

Now, what does that suggest to you is perhaps coming next...?

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